Question

Scenario 5.8:
Risk-neutral Icarus Airlines must commit now to leasing 1, 2, or 3 new airplanes. It knows with certainty that on the basis of business travel alone, it will need at least 1 airplane. The marketing division says that there is a 50% chance that tourism will be big enough for a second plane only. Otherwise, tourism will be big enough for a third plane. This, plus revenue information, yields the following table:

Planes Tourism Revenue Expected

Leased Light Heavy Profit

2 $90 million $30 million $60 million

3 $10 million $140 million $75 million


Refer to Scenario 5.8. The value to Icarus Airlines of complete information is
A) $40 million.
B) $90 million.
C) $115 million.
D) $120 million.
E) $125 million.

Answer

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