Question

George Steinbrenner, the owner of the New York Yankees, has a utility function of wins in a season given by U(w) = w2. Mr. Steinbrenner has been offered a trade. He believes if he completes the trade, his probability of winning 125 games is 15%. There is also an 85% chance the team won't gel and the Yankees will win only 90 games. Without the trade, Mr. Steinbrenner believes the Yankees will win 94 games. Given Mr. Steinbrenner's risk attitude, will he complete the trade?

Answer

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